Researchers from the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology in Germany
found that more than 50 per cent of Europe’s 41 million freestanding
homes could have been self-sufficient in 2020 using just solar and
batteries, with this figure expected to rise to 75 per cent by 2050.
Advances with solar technology mean that it will also make it
economically viable for a portion of these freestanding single-family
homes to abandon the electrical grid altogether in the coming decades.
Rather than abandoning the grid altogether, however, the researchers
said it would make more sense at a macroeconomic scale for households
to remain connected and feed excess energy back to other users during
times of overproduction.
“Our results show that even in 2050 going off-grid won’t be the most
economic choice, but it could make sense to invest in these kinds of
self-sufficient buildings if you are willing to pay more for
self-sufficiency,” said lead researcher Max Kleinebrahm, an energy
economics researcher at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology.
“It would be less efficient to have a large number of households
abandoning the grid rather than supporting it.”
The research was detailed in a
study, titled ‘Two million European single-family homes could
abandon the grid by 2050’, published in the scientific journal Joule.
The price
of solar panels has fallen significantly in recent years, with the
cost of solar power dropping by nearly 90 per cent over the last
decade, according to calculations
made in September by Berlin-based Mercator Research Institute on
Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC).
Lead researcher Felix Creutzig said the falling costs could mean that
the world’s entire energy consumption in 2050 could be “completely and
cost-effectively covered by solar technology and other renewables”.
A separate study conducted by researchers at the University of Exeter
and University College London, published
last month, found that solar energy has reached an “irreversible
tipping point” that will see it become the world’s main source of
power within three decades.
“The recent progress of renewables means that fossil fuel-dominated
projections are no longer realistic,” said Femke Nijsse from the
University of Exeter.
“Using three models that track positive feedbacks, we project that
solar PV will dominate the global energy mix by the middle of this
century.”
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